Friday, 10 May 2013

India to Myanmar Possible Targets for Tropical Cyclone

By Eric Leister, Meteorologist
May 10, 2013; 7:07 AM
Play video Weather across the world is detailed in the above AccuWeather.com video.
A large zone of unsettled weather over the Indian Ocean has resulted in the formation of two tropical cyclones this week.
The first area, just east of Sri Lanka, will pose the greatest threat to land, as the potential tropical cyclone could bring impacts to areas from India to Bangladesh and Myanmar.
Farther south, Tropical Cyclone 24S formed on Wednesday from this broad area of unsettled weather.

The above satellite image from Friday shows clouds associated with Tropical Cyclone Jamala well south of India. Also seen is the newly formed Tropical Cyclone 01B to the southeast of Sri Lanka.
This newly formed tropical cyclone will be the greatest threat to land during the next week, while Tropical Cyclone Jamala will drift south and then westward over the open Indian Ocean during this time.
Tropical Cyclone 01B is expected to take a generally northward track over the next couple of days as it becomes better organized. With this track, the potential storm could bring life-threatening conditions to millions of people from northern India and into Bangladesh and even Myanmar.
Another concern is that parts of Bangladesh and northeast India have received 6-12 inches of rainfall during the past week, so additional heavy rainfall from a possible tropical cyclone would likely produce widespread flooding and possible mudslides.
Tropical Cyclone Jamala will have less impact on land masses, especially in the short term. The most likely track would take the storm to the south before upper-level winds take the storm westerly toward Madagascar late next week.

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