Time of issue: 0830 hours IST Dated: 27-11-2013
Bulletin No.: BOB07/2013/27
(Orange Message)
Sub: Very Severe
Cyclonic storm ‘LEHAR’ over westcentral and adjoining south Bay of Bengal :
Cyclone Warning for Andhra Pradesh coast
The very severe cyclonic storm ‘LEHAR’
over southeast and adjoining central Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestward
with a speed of 15 kmph during past six hrs and lay centred at 0530 hours IST
of today, the 27 November 2013 over the westcentral and adjoining south Bay of
Bengal near latitude 13.50 N and longitude 87.00 E, about 650 km west-northwest of Port Blair, 700 km
east-southeast of Machillipatnam, 640 km east-southeast of Kakinada and 620 km
southeast of Kalingapatnam. The system would intensify further and move
west-northwestwards and cross Andhra Pradesh coast near Machillipatnam around
28 November afternoon.
Track
and intensity forecasts of the system are given in the table below:Date/Time(IST)
|
Position
(Lat.
0N/
long. 0E)
|
Maximum
sustained surface
wind
speed (kmph)
|
Category
of cyclonic disturbance
|
27-11-2013/0530
|
13.5/87.0
|
140-150
GUSTING TO 165
|
VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
|
27-11-2013/1130
|
13.8/86.0
|
140-150
GUSTING TO 165
|
VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
|
27-11-2013/1730
|
14.2/84.8
|
150-160
GUSTING TO 170
|
VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
|
27-11-2013/2330
|
14.7/83.8
|
150-160
GUSTING TO 170
|
VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
|
28-11-2013/0530
|
15.2/82.6
|
150-160
GUSTING TO 170
|
VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
|
28-11-2013/1730
|
16.4/80.6
|
110-120
GUSTING TO 130
|
SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM
|
29-11-2013/0530
|
17.6/78.8
|
50-60
GUSTING TO 70
|
DEEP
DEPRESSION
|
29-11-2013/1730
|
18.8/77.0
|
20-30
GUSTING TO 40
|
LOW
|
(A)Warning for coastal Andhra Pradesh and
Odisha
(i)Heavy Rainfall:
Rainfall at many places would
commence from 27thevening over coastal Andhra Pradesh; Yanam district of
Puducherry and south coastal Odisha. Intensity would gradually increase with
rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and
isolated extremely heavy falls over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam district
of Puducherry on 28thNovember. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would
occur over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telengana on 29thNovember 2013.
(ii)Gale wind:
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55
kmph gusting to 65 kmph would commence along and off Andhra Pradesh and south
Odisha coasts from 27thevening. It would increase in intensity with gale wind
speed reaching 150-160 kmph gusting to 170 kmph along and off coastal districts
of Guntur, Krishna, west & east Godavari and Vishakhapatnam districts of
Andhra Pradesh and Yanam district of Puducherry and 100-110 kmph gusting to 120
kmph over Vizianagaram and Prakasham districts of coastal Andhra Pradesh at the
time of landfall. Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph
would prevail along and off remaining districts of Andhra Pradesh at the time
of landfall.
(iii)State of sea:
State of Sea along and off Andhra
Pradesh and south Odisha coast will be rough to very rough from 27thevening and
will become phenomenal on 28thNovember along and off coastal Andhra Pradesh.
(iv)Storm Surge Guidance:
Storm surge of height about 2.0-3.0
metres above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of west and east
Godavari, Guntur and Krishna districts of Andhra Pradesh and Yanam district of
Puducherry and about 1 metre near Visakhapatnam district at the time of
landfall.
(v)Damage expected over north
coastal Andhra Pradesh:
Extensive damage to kutcha houses.
Disruption of power and communication line. Disruption of rail and road
traffic. Potential threat from flying debris. Flooding of escape routes.
Extensive damage to agricultural crops.
(vi)Action suggested:
Total suspension of fishing
operations. Fishermen out at sea along and off Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha
coasts are advised to return to coast. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas.
Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to
remain indoors.
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