Monday, 19 November 2018

Deep Depression over Southeast Arabian Sea weakened into a depression

Ministry of Earth Science19-November, 2018 16:12 IST
Deep Depression over Southeast Arabian Sea weakened into a depression

Well marked low pressure area over Bay of Bengal
(i)         The Deep Depression over Southeast Arabian Sea moved westwards with a speed of 22 kmph during past 06 hours, weakened into a depression and lay centered at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 19th November, 2018 over Southeast Arabian Sea near latitude 11.2°N and longitude 65.8°E, about 730 km west-northwest of Agatti and 1300 km east-southeast of Socotra. It is likely to move nearly westwards and weaken into a well marked low pressure area during next 48 hours.

(ii) The well marked low pressure area over central parts of south Bay of Bengal persisted over the same region at 1130 hours IST of today, the 19th November, 2018. It is very likely to move westwards and is likely to intensify into a depression over southwest Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST)Position (Lat. 0N/ Long. 0E))Maximum sustained surfacewind speed (Kmph)Category of cyclonic disturbance
19.11.18/113011.2/65.845-55 gusting to 65
Depression
19.11.18/173011.3/64.845-55 gusting to 65
Depression
19.11.18/233011.3/63.940-50 gusting to 60
Depression
20.11.18/053011.4/62.940-50 gusting to 60
Depression
20.11.18/113011.4/62.035-45 gusting to 55
Depression
20.11.18/233011.3/60.235-45 gusting to 55
Depression
21.11.18/113011.2/58.425-35 gusting to 45
Well Marked Low Pressure Area
Warnings:
  1.  Wind warning:
  • Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely to prevail over Southeast Arabian Sea to the west of Lakshadweep area during next 12 hours and decrease thereafter.
  • Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is very likely to prevail over central parts of south Arabian Sea on today, the 19th November and 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over southwest Arabian Sea on 20thNovember, 2018.
  1. Sea condition
 Sea condition will be rough to very rough over Southeast Arabian Sea to the west of Lakshadweep area during next 12 hours and over central parts of south Arabian Sea on today the, 19th November and over southwest Arabian Sea on 20thNovember.

  1. Action Suggested:
  • The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southeast Arabian Sea to the west of Lakshadweep area and over central parts of south Arabian Sea on today, the 19th November and over southwest Arabian Sea on 20th November, 2018.

(ii) Well marked low pressure area over Bay of Bengal The well marked low pressure area over central parts of south Bay of Bengal persisted over the same region at 1130 hours IST of today, the 19th November, 2018. It is very likely to move westwards and is likely to intensify into a depression over southwest Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.  

Warnings:
  1. Heavy rainfall warning:
  • 19th November, 2018: Rainfall at many places with heavy falls likely at isolated places over coastal Tamilnadu & Puducherry.
  • 20th November, 2018: Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places with isolated very heavy falls over coastal Tamilnadu & Puducherry and isolated heavy to very heavy falls over south coastal Andhra Pradesh, south Rayalaseema, south interior Karnataka and isolated heavy falls over Kerala.
  • 21st November, 2018: Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places likely over Tamilnadu & Puducherry, south Rayalaseema, south interior Karnataka and isolated heavy falls over Kerala.
  1. Wind warning
  • Strong wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 45 kmph is likely to prevail over Southwest Bay of Bengal today, the 19th November, 2018 and 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is very likely to prevail over the same area, Gulf of Mannar and along & off Tamil Nadu coast on 20th & 21st November 2018.
  1. Sea condition
 Sea condition will be moderate to rough over Southwest Bay of Bengal today, the 19th November, 2018 and rough to very rough over the same area, Gulf of Mannar and along & off Tamil Nadu coast on 20th & 21st November 2018.
(iv) Action Suggested:
The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southwest Bay of Bengal, Gulf of Mannar and along & off Tamil Nadu coast on 20th & 21st November 2018.

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