For the first time in human history, atmospheric concentrations of
carbon dioxide could rise above 400 parts per million throughout much of
the Northern Hemisphere as soon as May 2013
The latest CO2
measurement was taken at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii and
reported by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, a research center
at the University of San Diego that tracks increases in atmospheric CO2
levels.
Climatologists including former NASA scientist James Hansen have previously stated
that 350 parts per million (ppm) was the “magic number,” the level
beyond which long term climatic changes will be unleashed with
catastrophic consequences for human civilization.
“I
wish it weren’t true, but it looks like the world is going to blow
through the 400-ppm level without losing a beat,” said Scripps
geochemist Ralph Keeling, whose father David’s pioneering measurements
at Mauna Loa, which have come to be called the “Keeling Curve,” provide
the longest continuous record of CO2 in the world.
The Keeling
Curve begins from 316 ppm in March 1958, and approaches 400 ppm today.
“At this pace we’ll hit 450 ppm within a few decades,” said the younger
Keeling.
Scientists estimate that the last time CO2 was as high as
400 ppm was between 3.2 million and 5 million years ago, when Earth’s
climate was much warmer than today. Prior to the Industrial Revolution,
when humans began to leave an indelible stamp on the atmosphere by
burning fossil fuels, CO2 hovered around 280 ppm.
The dramatic
rise in CO2 over the last century is unprecedented; there is no known
period in geologic history characterized by such an increase. The
scientific community generally agrees that the CO2 increases are a
result of human activity and have caused dramatic climatic changes that
threaten human civilization.
In
the wake of Scripps’s announcement, climate change groups across the
world called for precipitous action from governments and businesses to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
“This is one milestone no one
should be happy about reaching,” said Mark Reynolds, Executive Director
of Citizens Climate Lobby, a group calling for the United States
Congress to pass legislation that would tax carbon dioxide emissions.
“Our civilization has altered the balance that nature
carefully maintained for hundreds of thousands of years. We risk tragic
consequences if we fail to restore that balance.”
In order to
reduce U.S. emissions and set an example for other nations, CCL has
proposed passage of a steadily-increasing, revenue-neutral carbon tax
that returns proceeds to taxpayers. The proposal has garnered widespread
bipartisan support, including from conservatives who usually oppose
both tax increases and environmental measure.
George Shultz, who served as Treasury Secretary for Richard Nixon and Secretary of State for Ronald Reagan, has endorsed the carbon tax as a way to employ the power of the free market to shift away from the use of fossil fuels.
“The
globe is warming and we should be taking steps to do something about
that,” Shultz said in March at a forum in Washington, D.C. Schultz added
that the carbon tax should be “justified solely, and only, as a way of
leveling the playing field. I don’t want it to be seen as a way of
raising money for federal operations.”Shultz has also endorsed
heavy investments in alternative energy sources like solar and wind that
are renewable and do not rely on burning fossil fuels.
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