Major Hazard Modelling
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Explosions..................................................................................................................................
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10.0. |
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Shock, Impact, Collapse
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10.1. |
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Seismic
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10.2. |
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Fire............................................................................................................................................ |
10.3. |
10.0 Explosions
Out
with electrical and nuclear explosions, there are generally only two
main types of explosion, these are mechanical and chemical with several
subsets within these categories. Explosions are generally differentiated
by the source or mechanism by which the explosive overpressures are
produced.
Mechanical explosions are those in which a high pressure gas produces a physical reaction, in which, the Nature of the Fuel does not change
, and the vessel failure or rupture of the container is generally in
the form of a BLEVE or (Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion). If
the material that is stored in the container, is flammable, then in many
instances a resultant fire occurs as long as there is an ignition
source or the temperature of the product is above its autogenous
ignition temperature. Key to any resultant fire is the mixing of the
fuel with air or an oxygen source.
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BLEVE
(Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion). If a vessel is ruptured,
or fails under pressure, the vapour portion may rapidly leak, dropping
the pressure inside the container and releasing a wave of overpressure
from the point of rupture. This sudden drop in pressure inside the
container causes violent boiling of the liquid, which rapidly liberates
large amounts of vapour in the process. The pressure of this vapour can
be extremely high, causing a second, much more significant wave of
overpressure (i.e., an explosion) which may completely destroy the
storage vessel and project it as shrapnel over the immediate surrounding
area.
Chemical explosions are those in which the Nature of fuel changes
generating a high pressure gas wave front driven by an exothermic
reaction resulting from the initiation of chemical explosives or fuel
gases. The rate of reaction will vary, and when explosives are present,
an outside oxidizer is not required.
Assessment methodologies
There are two main methodologies that exist for modelling explosions, these are:
- TNT Equivalency methods
- Methods based on the fuel-air charge blast
The explosion models include the following widely accepted approaches:
U.K. HSE TNT Equivalency
was based on the work of the U.K. Health and Safety Executive (HSE).
This model uses a proportional relationship between the flammable mass
in the cloud and an equivalent weight of TNT. It assumes that the entire
flammable.
U.S. Army TNT Equivalency
was based on the work of the U.S. Army. This model uses a proportional
relationship between the flammable mass in the cloud and an equivalent
weight of TNT and assumes that the entire flammable mass is involved in
the explosion and that the explosion is cantered at a single location.
The model uses one of two blast curves, depending upon whether the
explosion being modelled is a surface burst or a free-air burst.
High Explosives:
High Explosive Damage Assessment modelling has been conducted to
evaluate the damage caused to structures within a facility as a result
of a primary explosion and any accompanying secondary explosions. High
explosive damage assessment models can also predict injury to an
unlimited number of personnel in a facility. The principal use of such
software is for site analysis of explosive storage and manufacturing
facilities; however, the software can also be used to evaluate terrorism
and sabotage threats to an industrial or military facility.
Peak pressure effects of explosions wave fronts
- Glass Shatters: 3-7 kPa
- Person blown over: 6-7. kPa
- Concrete shatters 10-38 kPa
- Brick shears apart 20-60 kPa
- Lung damage > 69 kPa
- 50% chance of eardrum rupture 90-130 kPa
- 1% chance of death 160-230 kPa
- 50% chance of death 230-400 kPa
- 100% chance of death 400+
One atmosphere = 101325 pascals | 1013.25 hPa | 101.325 kPa | 0.0146959psi
kPa = kilopascal or 1000 pascals. One pascal is equal to one newton of force applied over an area of one square metre.
Velocity-related definitions
The speed of sound is about 340.3m/s (1115ft/s) at sea level at one atmosphere pressure and 15 degrees Celsius.
- Low velocity< 304.8 m/s (1000 ft/s)
- Medium velocity 304.8 to 762 m/s (1000-2500 ft/s)
- High Velocity >762 m/s (2500 ft/s)
- Hypervelocity >1524 m/s (5000 ft/s)
Cavitation and fragmentation effects predominate at higher energies (medium to high velocity).
For reference:
Objects moving
faster than 195ft/sec (59.44m/s) will fracture bone. This is regardless
of surface area or shape. Hypervelocity missiles produce crater-like
wounds.
10.1 Shock, Impact and Collapse
this section comming soon.
Calculate impact speed and mean energy of an object in freefall.
10.2 Seismic
The
calculations for seismic hazard can be quite complex. First, the
regional geology and seismology is examined for patterns (using
historical data, seismometers and earthquake location mapping) including
any zones of similar potential for seismicity.
Each zone is given properties associated with source potential: how many
earthquakes per year, the maximum size of earthquakes (maximum
magnitude), etc. Finally, the calculations require formulae that give
the required hazard indicators for a given earthquake size and distance.
For example, some districts prefer to use peak acceleration, others use
peak velocity, and more sophisticated uses require response spectral
ordinates.
The
computer program then integrates over all the zones and produces
probability curves for the key ground motion parameter. The final result
gives you a 'chance' of exceeding a given value over a specified amount
of time. Standard building codes for homeowners might be concerned with
a 1 in 500 years chance, while nuclear plants look at the 10,000 year
time frame. A longer-term seismic history can be obtained through
paleoseismology. The results may in the form of a ground response
spectrum for use in seismic analysis.
More elaborate variations on the theme also look at the soil conditions.
If you build on a soft soil, you are likely to experience many times
the ground motions than on solid rock. The standard seismic hazard
calculations become adjusted upwards if you are postulating
characteristic earthquakes.
Areas with high ground motion due to soil conditions are also often
subject to soil failure due to liquefaction in saturated soils. Soil
failure can also occur due to earthquake-induced landslides in steep
terrain. Large area land sliding can also occur on rather gentle slopes.
10.3 Fire
The
Fire protection of structures is becoming an increasingly important
aspect of design. The public quite rightly expect their buildings and
place of work to be designed to allow effective evacuation in the event
of fire. Certain industrial structures have tighter fire protection
requirements, such as oil and gas production and processing, nuclear
facilities and chemical process and storage.
Fire protection falls into two main categories, “prevention and
protection”. Preventative measures will include control of flammable
inventories, control of ignition sources, monitoring of environmental
conditions leading to initiation of alarms and automatic process
control, and fire detection systems designed to extinguish fires
immediately on detection.
Further to this, the protection measures fall into two categories,
“passive and active”. Passive measures include fire barriers, fire
resistant enclosures, fire doors, fire retardant coatings and fire
protective coatings. Active measures include water and chemical sprays
or deluges, foam dispersion and inert gas dispersal.
Fire protection can be provided as an all encompassing scheme, or it can
be functionally designed to optimise on cost, weight and maintenance.
Work carried out by various bodies has shown that pressure vessels
subjected to fire, but which are successfully blown-down can resist the
fire without rupture, without the application of fire protection.
Evidently the resulting vessel is not usable following the fire, but
there is no guarantee that a fire protected vessel could be re-used.
Using well defined techniques, the analysis can take a definition of a
postulated fire and carry out a time domain thermal analysis of the
structure. This model will include the basic thermal transmission
phenomena, radiation, conduction and convection, the material
temperature dependent properties of materials and the location and
nature of fire protection measures. The resulting thermal histories are
then applied to the structure to predict time to collapse, or to
demonstrate the degree of collapse. From this, the structure can be
economically protected to meet the safety requirements.
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